Outside the Box: AI Is Not of Our World
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Outside the Box: AI Is Not of Our World
Politicians and military strategists constitute a tiny segment of the population but have an inordinate influence over our lives. They also exist in a space-time continuum a little different, at least in scale, from the rest of humanity. They spend much of their time and most of their mental energy trying to balance two operations: predicting the future and acting to influence it. Journalists sometimes think of themselves as belonging to that category of humankind. Although theoretically focused on recounting past events and describing the present, they participate in the game of predicting the future. Their influence on the future is indirect at best.
Artificial intelligence also observes history as it unfolds. But it does so with a multitude of eyes and an undefined diversity of viewpoints. Because it assembles all viewpoints, it lacks its own viewpoint. That means that for AI history unfolds not, as it does for us, in the form of perceived and remembered sequences of events whose meaning changes with each new perception in time, but in the form of written discourse produced by others in the past.
A central feature of the operational gap between human and artificial intelligence is the space created between an event and the account of an event. Humans perceive that gap subjectively as composed of causality — by definition, uncertain and incomplete — and duration, the sense we have of the time for an event to unfold and the lapse of time between successive events. Subjectivity is dynamic and even when dealing with the past and future exists in the present. AI can only simulate subjectivity. When it claims to have a point of view, it is quite simply hallucinating.
AI’s time rootlessness
I frequently interrogate AI chatbots about the meaning of current historical trends or unfolding dramas. But this can be frustrating because, as my experiment revealed, AI will always be lagging. It simply does not share our human time frame. Although it can muster a plethora of pertinent facts, this non-existent time frame puts it at a significant remove from what we perceive as historical reality.
I ran an experiment with ChatGPT and DeepSeek that threw some valuable light on the phenomenon. It demonstrated to me that AI may indeed possess intelligence, but it will always be yesterday’s intelligence. I devised a prompt intended to remove the ambiguous impression given by the kind of contradictory statements we often hear from those we refer to as “world leaders.”
Europeans find themselves in a historical quandary whose outcome will determine a future that will play out somewhere between the extremes of war and peace, of prosperity and devastation. The debate focuses on the ongoing discussions aiming at recalibrating NATO’s strategy in the months and years to come. This is precisely the kind of problem that should incite us to solicit AI’s insight to help clarify the choices we as citizens face in democratic societies.
I sincerely hoped that AI could help me understand what lies beneath the surface of a surprising assertion made this past week by Mark Rutte, NATO’s general secretary. Reacting to the wish that US President Donald Trump’s administration apparently has to disengage from Europe and focus on China, Rutte advised that, within the existing NATO framework, “we have to be aware of what is happening in the Indo-Pacific. That’s the reason why we have that close cooperation.”
This didn’t seem to me totally logical. Wishing for clarification I formulated the following prompt, which I addressed to ChatGPT and DeepSeek.
“NATO chief Mark Rutte explained ‘that it is understandable, also for the US, that over time, they want to focus more and more also on that part of the world, and it is only logical for the Europeans to step up even more.’ This seems to indicate a vision of the evolution of NATO that turns it into an alliance challenging the entire globe or at least northern hemisphere, with two complementary forces governed by a common goal, one facing west and the other east. The US would take responsibility for the Pacific and East Asia while Europe would challenge Russia. And this would all take place within one alliance: NATO.
How realistic is this vision? It seems compromised by the very person whose positions and actions provoke this hypothesis: Donald Trump and his refusal to commit to supporting the Ukraine war. Is it reasonable to imagine Trump would agree to still being attached to the terms of the NATO alliance, which would oblige the US to back up an autonomous European command that attempted on its own to manage a war with Russia?
If it is not realistic, what does this say about the likelihood of NATO surviving or the risk of its demise? If it is imaginable, what would Europe have to do to convince Trump to align with this vision? Does Europe have the capacity to create those conditions?”
ChatGPT offered some solid analysis that began with this paragraph:
“This is a rich and timely question—one that gets at the fault lines in NATO today and the deeper strategic evolution that may be underway, or at least imagined by figures like Mark Rutte.
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